Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.071601 0.079397 0.087960 0.098112 0.109881 0.123172 0.139424
2024-10-27 0.059393 0.069808 0.082190 0.098190 0.118607 0.144197 0.179366
2024-11-03 0.051928 0.063850 0.078938 0.099861 0.128844 0.168722 0.229931
2024-11-10 0.046462 0.059218 0.076198 0.101175 0.138315 0.193894 0.288614
2024-11-17 0.041815 0.054843 0.072905 0.100803 0.144870 0.215903 0.349294
2024-11-24 0.038594 0.051914 0.071065 0.101995 0.153699 0.243267 0.428865
2024-12-01 0.035971 0.049468 0.069506 0.103194 0.162535 0.272634 0.524309
2024-12-08 0.033704 0.047259 0.067966 0.104063 0.170795 0.302961 0.636090
2024-12-15 0.031562 0.044999 0.066041 0.103908 0.177019 0.330822 0.756832
2024-12-22 0.029470 0.042613 0.063627 0.102499 0.180457 0.353597 0.877488
2024-12-29 0.028261 0.041510 0.063197 0.104584 0.191323 0.396791 1.090727
2025-01-05 0.026560 0.039459 0.060941 0.102894 0.193791 0.420125 1.255707
2025-01-12 0.025429 0.038289 0.060143 0.104020 0.203001 0.465261 1.552656
2025-01-19 0.024126 0.036730 0.058513 0.103276 0.207790 0.500196 1.849385
2025-01-26 0.023243 0.035822 0.057977 0.104712 0.218236 0.556899 2.341992
2025-02-02 0.022411 0.034938 0.057395 0.105964 0.228544 0.618343 2.983793
2025-02-09 0.021442 0.033742 0.056113 0.105506 0.234250 0.666880 3.654729
2025-02-16 0.020747 0.032989 0.055616 0.106747 0.245009 0.740650 4.764066
2025-02-23 0.020107 0.032288 0.055157 0.108010 0.256208 0.823528 6.320234
2025-03-02 0.019476 0.031564 0.054584 0.108929 0.266674 0.910758 8.444163
2025-03-09 0.018784 0.030680 0.053618 0.108762 0.273749 0.987589 11.018887
2025-03-16 0.018016 0.029610 0.052186 0.107264 0.276173 1.043219 13.760146
2025-03-23 0.017635 0.029252 0.052210 0.109479 0.291868 1.185620 20.915341